Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.192065 0.226303 0.264418 0.309928 0.362725 0.421979 0.493455
2024-12-15 0.142093 0.187651 0.243889 0.318124 0.413220 0.530605 0.686115
2024-12-22 0.108187 0.156813 0.222084 0.315455 0.444837 0.616905 0.862037
2024-12-29 0.089137 0.139696 0.212468 0.323723 0.488118 0.720377 1.071181
2025-01-05 0.072984 0.122625 0.198637 0.321839 0.514389 0.801043 1.256342
2025-01-12 0.059713 0.106941 0.183459 0.314230 0.529190 0.864536 1.421531
2025-01-19 0.049150 0.093426 0.169022 0.304690 0.538261 0.918510 1.576214
2025-01-26 0.043352 0.086951 0.164981 0.311264 0.573667 1.017236 1.812279
2025-02-02 0.038218 0.080669 0.160105 0.315272 0.604525 1.110933 2.049110
2025-02-09 0.033564 0.074410 0.154174 0.316207 0.629480 1.196396 2.279823
2025-02-16 0.030033 0.069746 0.150481 0.320625 0.660974 1.296131 2.545417
2025-02-23 0.027734 0.067257 0.150661 0.332506 0.707840 1.428324 2.883198
2025-03-02 0.023894 0.060750 0.141753 0.324988 0.716200 1.490272 3.098012
2025-03-09 0.021400 0.056891 0.137929 0.327669 0.745728 1.596506 3.410186
2025-03-16 0.018750 0.052139 0.131357 0.323338 0.759810 1.673177 3.671080
2025-03-23 0.017245 0.049966 0.130354 0.331354 0.801455 1.810187 4.068254
2025-03-30 0.015339 0.046363 0.125364 0.329307 0.820245 1.900853 4.377033
2025-04-06 0.013388 0.042241 0.118420 0.321499 0.824697 1.960817 4.625529
2025-04-13 0.011614 0.038245 0.111138 0.311743 0.823193 2.007185 4.848321
2025-04-20 0.010759 0.036794 0.110339 0.318457 0.862413 2.149304 5.299048
2025-04-27 0.009887 0.035111 0.108642 0.322551 0.895558 2.280525 5.736933
2025-05-04 0.008995 0.033177 0.105931 0.323507 0.920778 2.395427 6.147284
2025-05-11 0.008311 0.031786 0.104569 0.328020 0.955815 2.537277 6.634668